What's In Your Financial Checklist?

By Frederick A. Fisher MS, CFP®

Rick Fisher, Ostrofe Financial Consultants

Rick Fisher, Ostrofe Financial Consultants

While many of us are spending more time at home due to COVID-19, this may be a good time to work on our personal finances. One way to start is to create a financial checklist to make sure we are addressing all important aspects of our financial lives. Though not in any order, the important thing is to address each item as appropriate.

A good place to start is with a budget. A realistic formalized budget can help build a solid financial foundation. This will help the household finances grow and keep financial goals on track. The key to an effective budget is ongoing monitoring and making realistic goals that can adapt to changing circumstances.

Next, have you set a goal for building an emergency fund? This fund can be used for unforeseen expenses. A reasonable goal is three to six months of basic living expenses. Depending on your budget, this may take a year or two to accumulate.

A retirement savings plan should also be toward the top of the list. This goal is more long-term than the emergency savings and will take decades to build. This will be vital for a comfortable retirement. Setting a realistic goal will depend on income, number of years till retirement, and expected cash flow at retirement. In order to achieve your emergency fund and retirement savings goals, it will be important to fund these as a non-discretionary expense, along with housing, food and transportation expenses.

One of the most neglected financial items on our checklist is life insurance on the wage earners. No one expects an untimely death but should a wage earner die it can leave a family financially and emotionally devastated. There are many tools to estimate how much is needed, and many types of insurance to fit almost any budget or goal.

Another often neglected item on a financial checklist is estate planning. Items like wills, trusts, and powers of attorneys are critical for proper financial management and protecting the family from unnecessary cost and delays in estate settlement. Using an attorney who specializes in estate planning is important; he or she will be able to recommend a plan that is appropriate and affordable.

The last item on our financial checklist is tax planning. Proper tax planning can save you money and prevent tax surprises, which can be costly and usually avoidable. From proper withholding, deduction tracking, and capital gains management, there are plenty of items that need to be monitored. This

financial checklist is just a start and can be expanded to include proper casualty insurance coverage as well.

Should you want more information on our financial checklist give us a call at 530-273-4425 and discover our beyond investments approach.


The opinions voiced in this material are for general information only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. This information is not intended to be a substitute for specific individualized tax advice. We suggest that you discuss your specific tax issues with a qualified tax advisor.

Frederick Fisher is a Registered Representative with, and Securities offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA/SIPC. Investment advice offered through Ostrofe Financial Consultants, Inc., a Registered Investment Advisor and separate entity from LPL Financial.

For questions or suggestions, contact Frederick at (530) 273-4425, or frederick.fisher@lpl.com, or visit ostrofefinancial.com. Branch address: 420 Sierra College Drive, Suite 200, Grass Valley.

COVID-19 in the News (May 2020)

Read how the media is reporting during May on news related to COVID-19 (Coronavirus).

  • While cafes and restaurants are going back into business, not everyone is returning to work (Fox Business).

  • How do you pay off credit card debt during a global crisis? (Fox Business).

  • According to CNBC, online grocery shopping is now practiced by 10-15% of Americans.

  • Yahoo! Finance looks at the falling mortgage rate, a new record low for the U.S.

Quarterly Economic Update: A review of Q1 2020

In this Q1 recap: COVID-19 hits the United States, followed by heavy economic volatility, government stimulus, and an as-yet untold human cost. 

A review of Q1 2020, Presented by Seth Leishman 

THE QUARTER IN BRIEF

The spread of COVID-19 sent stocks tumbling in the first quarter, as health and economic costs of the pandemic began to mount. Stocks remained under pressure despite the Federal Reserve’s lowering of short-term interest rates and the government’s stimulus efforts through the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act (CARES) Act. The DJIA sank 23.2% and the S&P 500 dropped 20% on the quarter. The volatility following the novel coronavirus has left all but a handful of sectors in a prolonged period of uncertainty. With millions of Americans staying at home in an effort to “flatten the curve” of COVID-19’s impact on people, businesses are coping with closing for the duration, altering practices, or facing staffing issues.1 

DOMESTIC ECONOMIC HEALTH

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates to zero on March 15 and announced several monetary actions designed to support households and businesses. However, markets were unfazed by the Fed’s aggressive move, electing to instead focus on the contraction of economic growth that many are expecting. Millions of Americans have applied for unemployment, with a spike of 3.3 million seen in March. Layoffs and furloughs are foreseen throughout early Q2.2,3

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) registered an annualized advance of 2.4% in February, ahead of the COVID-19 volatility in the United States. Inflation was ahead 0.1% in the same period. Consumer spending was at 0.2% in the middle of the quarter, with the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index at 101.0. Retail sales were at 4.35%, annualized. The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) up nearly two points to 57.3, mid-quarter. All these figures may be revised dramatically in the second quarter as more data is compiled about the economic cost of the pandemic.4,5

GLOBAL ECONOMIC HEALTH

The main story in China for the first quarter of 2020, affecting nearly every aspect of the Chinese economy, has been the COVID-19 outbreak. Anticipating the rough road ahead, a number of international financial institutions have revised their growth estimates for China downward, leaving some to predict the worst year in decades. Despite this, the Caixin/Markit Manufacturing PMI came in at 50.1 in March, just within the realm indicating growth, and up from February’s 40.3. As the quarter came to a close, U.S. lawmakers were questioning the accuracy of China’s reported number of COVID-19 cases as the U.S. grappled with the pandemic.6,7

European countries are also facing hardship, with Italy and Spain seeing a higher-than-average number of cases. The European Commission predicts a recession, with the overall gross domestic product (GDP) sinking 1% for 2020. This follows 1% of growth for the GDP in the final quarter of 2019. Facing heavy unemployment, the European Commission set up a 100 billion euros ($110 million in U.S. dollars) program to help keep workers employed, while also pledging to purchase as much as 750 billion euros to keep markets at ease through the purchase of financial assets.8,9,10

WORLD MARKETS

The arrival of COVID-19 signaled volatility around the globe. The numbers at the end of the quarter include: the U.K.’s FTSE 100 (-13.81%), the German Dax (-16.44%), the French CAC 40 (-17.21%), Japan’s Nikkei 225 (-10.53%), Australia’s All-Ordinaries (-21.51), Mexico’s Bolsa (-16.38%), Brazil’s Bovespa (-29.90), China’s Shanghai Composite (-4.51), Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (-9.67), South Korea’s Kospi Composite (-11.69), and Russia’s RTS (-21.95).11,12

The MSCI EAFE Index (which measures performance across developed stock markets outside North America) took a 14.77% fall at the end of Q1.13 

COMMODITIES MARKETS

The oil market dominated the commodities headlines during the first quarter. The failure of Russia to join Saudi Arabia in supporting lower oil production targets left Saudi Arabia fuming and responding with an announcement of its intention to raise oil output. Oil prices plummeted on the news, contributing to the stock market’s woes. While lower oil prices represent a boon to consumers in the form of lower gasoline prices and a relief to companies with high energy consumption (e.g., airlines, chemical), they also pose a risk to the American energy industry.

Should low oil prices persist, it may lead to lower capital expenditures, labor force reductions, and troubles in the credit markets as less-capitalized companies struggle to meet their debt obligations. As the quarter came to a close, there was some speculation that President Trump would take a larger role in working with Russia and Saudi Arabia on production targets.

Elsewhere, WTI crude closed out the quarter at $20.34 a barrel. Gold finished the quarter at $1,572 an ounce on the NYMEX; silver, at $13.98 an ounce.14,15 

REAL ESTATE

Across the first quarter, new home sales moved from -0.4% for December to 7.9% in January and down again to -4.4% in February. Existing home sales for February rose 6.5%, compared to a 1.3% decrease for January and a 3.6% increase in December 2019. Housing starts declined over Q1 starting at 16.9% for December, -3.6% for January, and -1.5% for February.4

Mortgage rates started the first quarter (January 2) at 3.72% for 30-year mortgages, 3.16% for 15-year mortgages, and 3.46% for 5/1-year mortgages. At the end of the quarter (March 26), the 30-year mortgages were at 3.5%, 2.92% for 15-year mortgages, and 3.34% for 5/1-year mortgages.16

30-year and 15-year, fixed-rate mortgages are conventional home loans, generally featuring a limit of $484,350 ($726,525 in high-cost areas) that meet the lending requirements of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, but they are not mortgages guaranteed or insured by any government agency. Private mortgage insurance, or PMI, is required for any conventional loan with less than a 20% down payment. 


T I P   O F   T H E   Q U A R T E R

Online tax calculators are handy, but keep in mind that they typically only calculate your federal tax rate. Most don’t take state or FICA taxes into account. Also, calculators are not designed to be a replacement for real-life advice, so make sure to consult your tax, legal, or accounting professional before modifying your tax strategy.


LOOKING BACK, LOOKING FORWARD

This first quarter of 2020 was one of the worst for stocks in U.S. history. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) closed at 21,917.16 for the quarter. The Standard and Poor’s 500 (S&P 500) ended Q1 at 2,584.59, while the NASDAQ Composite Index closed at 7,700.10.17

Sources: barchart.com, wsj.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov - 3/31/20Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends. 10-year TIPS real yield = projected return at ma…

Sources: barchart.com, wsj.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov - 3/31/20

Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends. 10-year TIPS real yield = projected return at maturity given expected inflation.

It is difficult to see, in the middle of the COVID-19 epidemic, exactly what the full impact will be. Suffice it to say, the cost in human terms has been staggering so far and seems certain to affect at least part of the coming quarter. As people and businesses adapt to extended periods of quarantine, the only thing that seems clear is that no aspect of American life will be unchanged. CARES Act stimulus checks are on the way for millions of Americans. The Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates. Further measures are being considered at the state and federal level. The only two things that seem truly certain are that action is being taken and that we’ll all breathe a sigh of relief once this crisis subsides. 


Q U O T E   O F   T H E   Q U A R T E R 

“If we are to learn to improve the quality of the decisions we make, we need to accept the mysterious nature of our snap judgments.”

MALCOLM GLADWELL 


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This material was prepared by MarketingPro, Inc., and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting party, nor their affiliates. The information herein has been derived from sources believed to be accurate. Please note - investing involves risk, and past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investments will fluctuate and when redeemed may be worth more or less than when originally invested.

This information should not be construed as investment, tax or legal advice and may not be relied on for the purpose of avoiding any Federal tax penalty. This is neither a solicitation nor recommendation to purchase or sell any investment or insurance product or service, and should not be relied upon as such. 

All market indices discussed are unmanaged and are not illustrative of any particular investment. Indices do not incur  management fees, costs and expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results.  Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. This material represents an assessment of the market environment at a specific point in time and is not intended to be a  forecast of future events, or a guarantee of future results.

MarketingPro, Inc. is not affiliated with any person or firm that may be providing this information to you. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional. 

CITATIONS:

1 - CNN.com, March 31, 2020. 2 - Reuters, March 31, 2020. 3 - MarketWatch, April 1, 2020. 4 - Investing.com, April 1, 2020. 5 - MarketWatch, April 1, 2020. 6 - CNN.com, April 1, 2020. 7 - MarketWatch, March 31, 2020. 8 - Bloomberg, March 13, 2020. 9 - CNBC.com, April 1, 2020. 10 - New York Times, April 2, 2020. 11 - New York Times, March 31, 2020. 12 - Barchart.com, March 31, 2020. 13 - MarketWatch.com, March 31, 2020. 14 - Barchart.com, April 2, 2020. 15 - BusinessInsider.com, April 2, 2020. 16 - FreddyMac.com, April 2, 2020. 17 - Bloomberg.com, March 31, 2020. 

COVID-19 in the News (April 2020)

Here are some interesting articles in the news that we have been reading to bring you up to date on what is happening with businesses and communities in relation to the challenges caused by COVID-19.

CNBC asks, How will families celebrate Easter during the quarantine?

CNN reports that the U.S. lost 701,000 jobs in March, worst month since 2009.

Entrepreneur asks if losses related to COVID-19 are covered by your business insurance.

USA Today covers how to host a virtual Passover seder.

Forbes examines purchasing life insurance coverage during the COVID-19 crisis.

CNBC examines how the post-coronavirus economic downturn compares to earlier examples.

Follow us on Facebook to see news like this in your personal Facebook feed.

“Where is my stimulus check?” NBC News covers the process.

Will the custom of shaking hands continue after COVID-19? Fox News takes a look.

CNBC reports that U.S. jobless claims have risen by 6.6 million. This eliminates 10% of the U.S. workforce.

Techspot takes a look at delivery apps and whether or not they are actually helping restaurants.